The growing possibility that a life with some form of lockdown restrictions, face masks and social distancing may well persist into 2021 – and possibly beyond – is likely to impact the lifestyle choices property owners make when purchasing or renting a new home, says Dr Andrew Golding, chief executive of the Pam Golding Property group.
While lockdown regulations are set to ease by May month-end, allowing a semblance of normality to return, the prospect of a possible peak in infections later in the year and/or a second wave of the virus in the near future pose concerns for all citizens and will impact on their choice of residence.
Says Dr Golding: “In a time of social distancing, it makes sense for people to minimise their interactions with other people – outside of family and a close circle of friends. One of the ways to achieve this is to remain in one’s neighbourhood – shopping, eating (when permissible) and using the amenities in the area. This suggests an increase in activity in ‘Main Street’ or neighbourhood shopping centres – rather than large shopping malls, which attract large numbers of shoppers from a wide area.
“Another way to minimise interaction with others is to live and work in an estate – which increasingly offers retail outlets, sporting amenities, schools, medical facilities and offices or business hubs, or is in close proximity to these amenities.
“Lifestyle estates, especially those within easy reach of cities and major hubs, have proven increasingly attractive in recent years for a number of reasons, including security – with open spaces including play areas for children and 24-hour patrols, among other features, all contributing to a less stressful family-oriented way of life with safe open spaces for exercise, sporting pursuits and recreation. This makes them far less accessible to members of the public, thereby reducing exposure to external influences, plus there is the potential for more spacious homes, reducing the feeling of being confined to a small space during a lockdown.
“Amenities such as schools, child-minding and shopping facilities and other activities on site all contribute to a sense of security from a health and safety point of view, while providing highly attractive environs in which to live, with less maintenance hassles, while some estates lend themselves to multi-generational living with a wide variety of options available – such as more affordable apartment and cottage units catering for young couples or retirees, over and above the more spacious homes on offer. There is definitely a trend towards incorporating a more diverse offering of homes in estates – including more affordable sectional title properties as well as retirement villages. This is ensuring that estate living caters to a larger market of potential homeowners.”
Dr Golding says the lack of congestion on an estate also has high appeal for those wanting to escape from high-density, congested city living, where some have been cooped up in tiny apartments, while estates will become increasingly attractive for those who can and want to work from home. Many estates are also increasingly self-sufficient and off the grid or partly so in terms of water and energy – making the case once again for a cost-wise and convenience-wise decision to live in a secure, lifestyle estate.”
Residential estate living is on the rise, especially among the more affluent. New World Wealth estimates that over 40% of SA HNWIs (High Net Worth Individuals) live or have homes on residential estates, says Sandra Gordon, Pam Golding Properties senior research analyst.
“According to New World Wealth, recent trends in this sector of the market include a move towards lifestyle and retirement estates, rather than golf estates, while parkland estates with parks, birdlife, walking and cycling trails are becoming more popular. Most developers are now creating small neighbourhoods within the estates – allowing for more open spaces and parklands, unlike the old model where homes were spaced evenly around the entire property. In addition, a large number of estates have started to add luxury apartments to their offerings, whereas previously, most estates had focused only on freehold houses.”
Move to estate living continues
According to Lightstone, in 2010, estates accounted for 12.7% of all homes sold in South Africa. By 2019, this had risen to 14.7% of all properties sold.
Says Gordon: “Even as the total number of estate properties sold has stabilised at almost 15% of all properties sold nationally, the percentage of those homes that fall in the top price-band has more than doubled in less than a decade – rising from just 5.6% in 2010 to an average of 13.0% last year (see chart below). This also illustrates that buyers are prepared to pay a premium price for all the benefits of a secure, estate lifestyle.
“Even as house prices – particularly at the upper end – slow in the face of a struggling economy (which had slipped into recession even before Covid-19), the percentage of estate homes sold in the upper price band has continued to rise – albeit relatively slowly. It appears likely the arrival of Covid-19 and the likely persistence of infection fears will reinforce the trend by underlining the appeal of estate living.”
|Region (estates % total)||2010 (ave)||2019 (ave)|
The regional breakdown of estate sales reveals a decline in the percentage of estate homes sold in Gauteng – particularly between 2013 and 2017 – when the semigration trend was still accelerating. As a result, the Western Cape has gained most from this shift – with a growing share of total national estate home sales between 2010 and 2019.
The Eastern Cape has also shown growth in market share in estate home sales, while KwaZulu-Natal estate homes have remained largely unchanged as a percentage of the national estate market.
Says Dr Golding: “If social distancing becomes a more permanent feature of the national and international landscape, one could expect growing demand for homes in estates – as people seek the relative safety offered by living in the confines of an estate.
“In 2010, 36.5% of all estate homes sold were new, however by 2019 this had declined to an average of 27.6%. Given the sluggish pace of economic growth and the decline in building activity this decline in the sale of new estate homes (or any new homes in general) was hardly surprising. There is a chance that this decline is halted – or even reversed – as the appeal of estate living increases in the months ahead. Notably, in recent years we have seen in places like George, on the scenic Garden Route, that increased demand for plots has seen a particular preference for plots located within security estates.”
For further information contact Pam Golding Properties on email firstname.lastname@example.org.
Issued by Gaye de Villiers
Tel: 083 325 1939 or 021 6837788
On behalf of Pam Golding Properties
Caption Monaghan Farm: Monaghan Farm is an eco-estate that enables residents to experience life on a farm. Situated on the banks of the Jukskei River, a mere 10-minute drive from Fourways in close proximity to Lanseria Airport, this secure estate includes a 33km mountain bike track, running and hiking trails, equestrian centre, two private schools and a restaurant. Priced at R5.95 million, this luxury three-bedroom home represents off the grid living, rain water harvesting, solar panels and a vegetable garden.
Caption Fancourt: Priced at R8.15 million through Pam Golding Properties, this three-bedroom house for sale in the Cape Dutch Homestead precinct in Fancourt on the Garden Route, is stylishly renovated, with every conceivable luxury. Play golf on two world-class golf courses with access to extensive amenities including a clubhouse, indoor and outdoor pools and top restaurants.
Caption Mzuri: Artist’s impression of the apartments in Mzuri in Somerset West. This estate offers a combination of property options from lock-up-and-go apartments starting at R1.195 million to townhouses for downscalers, as well as family-sized homes. With more people working from home or reducing the time spent commuting to the office, Mzuri has high-speed connectivity, a WiFi-enabled conference room and meeting space, as well as a clubhouse with 12m pool, restaurant/bar.
Caption Seaton: Artist’s impression of a home in ‘Seaton the Club’. Seaton is a new-generation estate offering a diverse lifestyle across 411 ha of KwaZulu-Natal’s prime North Coast. This is integrated living, with world-class equestrian opportunities, luxury beach residences, generous retirement accommodation, retail and markets, offices and direct access to private schooling. In phase 1 stands are priced from R990 000.
Caption Pearl Valley: Situated in Pearl Valley in Val de Vie in Paarl, this beautifully renovated home is marketed by Pam Golding Properties for R13.95 million. Pearl Valley ticks all the boxes in terms of security, scenery, quality and design of houses as well as value-for-money and resale potential. With a range of lifestyle amenities, Pearl Valley offers an enviable live-play-relax lifestyle, ideal for work-from-home residents and with a preschool and child’s play area on the estate, with several top schools in the Paarl area.