This week will probably see the most important event in the lifetime of many of us.
SA will weather storm
Article By:
Tue, 14 Oct 2008 15:25
South Africa should weather the economic crisis that has gripped the globe, Russell Harte, group chief financial officer for the Liberty Group (LGL) said on Tuesday.
Speaking at the UBS 11th annual financial services conference in Cape
Town, Harte said the impact of global economic events on South Africa had
been limited.
South African companies had not been as exposed to securities linked to
the subprime mortgagte market to the extent that companies in Europe and
Asia had been.
"The impact of sub-prime is lower in South Africa – at present. To date
the insurance industry appears less affected than banking does."
Harte said that the South African economy was still in an upward cycle
and GDP growth prospects were still relatively promising in South Africa,
with Liberty forecasting a GDP of 3.3 percent for 2008 and three percent for 2009.
Inflation peaks
Interest rates and inflation also appeared
to have peaked. Liberty is
expecting a six percent CPIX rate for 2009 from 7.3 percent in 2008.
Harte added that the National Credit Act (NCA) had had the required
impact of slowing down access to credit and curbing rising debt.
The recent political changes had also had a "short-lived minor impact"
on local markets as global events took centre stage, he said.