This week will probably see the most important event in the lifetime of many of us.
Wrecking ball hits rand
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Wed, 08 Oct 2008 14:00
The rand weakened to a near six-year worst level against the dollar on Wednesday morning as global markets plummeted following a five percent fall on Wall Street overnight.
The rand spiked above the nine rand per dollar level to 9.4288 — a level
last witnessed in November 2002 — as Japanese stocks plummeted 9.4 percent in the wake of Wall Street's fall. Other Asian markets were also under severe pressure, with the Hang Seng index ending 8.2 percent lower.
Notwithstanding an announcement earlier Wednesday by the UK government
that it would invest up to £50-billion in UK banks and make £200-billion
in liquidity available, the FTSE was recently down six percent.
Dow Jones Newswires reports that European stocks plunged on Wednesday amid
heightened anxiety about a deep and far reaching economic recession, and as
doubts emerged over the U.K. treasury's attempt to revive a wilting banking
sector.
"Reconciliation and responsibility are
needed quickly to ensure that the
crisis does not deepen further, but, clearly, individual states are getting
their own house in order first," said Dermot O'Leary, economist at Goodbody
Stockbrokers in Ireland.
"The UK's decision to directly inject capital into its banks would have
been thought unbelievable not so long ago, but it may now become the
template that other nations will have to follow."
A local currency trader said that the rand is being driven solely by
the global market turmoil.
"There's a major rise in global risk aversion — a flight from your more
riskier assets — which has seen the rand weaken sharply," a local currency
trader said.
At 10:20 the rand was bid at 9.3319 to the dollar from a previous close
of 8.9184. It was bid at 12.7198 to the euro from a previous 12.1303 and at
16.3652 against sterling from 15.6127 before.
The euro was bid at $1.3650 from $1.3613 overnight, while gold was
quoted at $907.35 a troy ounce from $888.92/oz overnight.
RMB said in its morning commentary that it's becoming increasingly
evident that world central banks need to gear up for co-ordinated action to
alleviate clogged money markets and to re-instil some sort of confidence,
with Israel yesterday cutting interest rates in a surprise move, Australia
cutting the day before and the Bank of England due to make their decision on
Thursday.
"The ZAR is 'punch drunk' at this stage with lows and highs seen
yesterday of 8.7000 and 8.9800 respectively, whipsawing viciously between
the two levels. With risk aversion and emergings out of favour and the
Nikkei closing well into the red this morning, the rand looks set to weaken
further today," RMB said.
With the exaggerated moves seen in the rand lately the risk for further
major weakness is a reality, they concluded.