This week will probably see the most important event in the lifetime of many of us.
Policies for prosperity
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Wed, 08 Oct 2008 07:53
With financial markets worldwide facing growing turmoil, internationally coherent and decisive policy measures will be required to restore confidence in the global financial
system, says the IMF in its latest Global Financial Stability Report.
"Failure to do so could usher in a period in which the ongoing
deleveraging process becomes increasingly disorderly and costly for the real
economy. In any case, the process of restoring an orderly system will be
challenging, as a significant deleveraging is both necessary and
inevitable," it adds.
"Confidence in global financial institutions and markets has been badly
shaken," notes the IMF.
"The intensifying worries about counter-party risks has created a near
lock up of global money markets," it says.
The IMF says in the report that while the precise measures will
inevitably differ across countries, experience from earlier crises indicates
that five principles could serve to guide
the scope and design of measures
that could form the basis for a restoration of confidence in these
exceptional circumstances.
Clear communication
Firstly, countries should employ measures that are comprehensive,
timely, and clearly communicated. They should encompass the principal
challenges arising from the strains of deleveraging: namely, improving
funding availability, cost, and maturity to stabilise balance sheets;
injecting capital to support viable institutions with sound underpinnings
that are currently unable to provide adequate credit; and buttressing
troubled assets by using public sector balance sheets to promote orderly
deleveraging. In applying existing or new regulations, authorities should
avoid exacerbating procyclical effects. The objectives of the measures
should be clear and operational procedures transparent.
Next, countries should aim for a consistent and coherent set of policies
to stabilise
the global financial system across countries in order to
maximise impact while avoiding adverse effects on other countries.
Then they should ensure rapid response on the basis of early detection
of strains. This requires a high degree of coordination within each country,
and in many cases across borders, and a framework that allows for decisive
action by potentially different sets of authorities.
Fourthly, countries should assure that emergency government
interventions are temporary and taxpayer interests are protected.
Accountability of government actions is important for all stakeholders and
the conditions for support should include private participation in downside
risks and taxpayer participation in upside benefits. Intervention mechanisms
should minimise moral hazard, while recognising the exigency of the
situation and the evident need for public support.
Medium term
Lastly, countries should pursue the
medium-term objective of a more
sound, competitive, and efficient financial system.
"Achieving this objective requires both an orderly resolution of
nonviable financial institutions and a strengthening of the international
macro-financial stability framework to help improve supervision and
regulation at the domestic and global levels, as well as mechanisms to
improve the effectiveness of market discipline. Funding and securitisation
markets critical to pricing and intermediating credit should be
strengthened, including by reducing counter-party risks through centralised
clearing organisations," says the IMF.
While satisfying these guiding principles, concrete actions are needed
to tackle three interrelated areas associated with deleveraging:
insufficient capital, falling and uncertain asset valuations, and
dysfunctional funding markets.
"Arresting the spiralling interaction between these three elements is
essential if there is
to be a more orderly deleveraging process," concludes
the IMF.